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So, what is the price hike going to look like?


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1 hour ago, alfred_the_great said:

I think between the tariffs and the rumoured taxes on ships into the U.S. (you can find detail on line), GW is about to become an extreme luxury for everyone in the U.S.  

 

 

GW already is a pretty extreme luxury for many in the US. The last half decade has seen some pretty extreme upheavals in terms of inflation and prices of more basic, fundamental living necessities like food, rent, taxes, utilities, fuel, etc.

 

Meanwhile incomes have stagnated - at best - for many, many people.

 

For a lot of people, $60+ for a little box of 32mm plastic toy figurines is rather bonkers.

Reading the Financial Times this morning I stumbled on one concept: simply by being the news, tariffs provide the perfect cover for profit-led price hikes, regardless of the actual impact on total costs.

Quote

[...] Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS, said he expected the impact of the latest levies would be passed on to consumers faster than during Trump’s previous tariff spree in 2018 — when it took several months — because most US retailers currently have less inventory to fall back on.

The belief that consumers are now “more accepting” of inflation following recent price shocks and widespread criticism of the Trump administration’s trade policy could also accelerate profit-led price increases by retailers, he added.

“With awareness of the tariffs increasing, US consumers are likely to blame any price increase, whatever the reason, on Trump’s trade taxes,” Donovan said.

At this point, I'm not very optimistic on whether or not prices will increase. It's more a question on when it will happen.

52 minutes ago, AenarIT said:

Reading the Financial Times this morning I stumbled on one concept: simply by being the news, tariffs provide the perfect cover for profit-led price hikes, regardless of the actual impact on total costs.

At this point, I'm not very optimistic on whether or not prices will increase. It's more a question on when it will happen.

This happened after Covid too though. A lot of price increases that drove inflation were effectively “greedflation” but that wasn’t really talked  about.

 

The retaliatory tariffs from China of 84% are also pretty depressing. I suppose as I live in the UK, it won’t affect us quite as much, but still, it’s so hard to make any predictions with any accuracy. 

29 minutes ago, roryokane said:

This happened after Covid too though. A lot of price increases that drove inflation were effectively “greedflation” but that wasn’t really talked  about.

 

The retaliatory tariffs from China of 84% are also pretty depressing. I suppose as I live in the UK, it won’t affect us quite as much, but still, it’s so hard to make any predictions with any accuracy. 

 

It's been talked about plenty, anyone with a set of eyes can see that the post covid inflation is completely a fabrication of unchecked greed and capitalism, perpetuated by a moneyed elite that believe themselves better than the rest of us.

 

Unfortunately, half the world has also decided to lick their boots, so here we are. 

With tariffs going up, back and forth, between the US and China, I have little doubt this will impact everyone else too. Many products aren't made in isolation through one source, with a globalised economy having many parts of a product (including packaging, plastic cellophane, ink, paper, card etc) being widespread across multiple countries.

 

We will see "band aid" price increases from many sources that are affected which will have a snowball effect on a broader economy. Games Workshop could very well raise prices in the UK, for example, to cover cost increases from shipping and packaging and plastic and production from all sorts of sources.

The kits are made in China, but do they normally get sent to the UK first before the US?

 

or will they have to now be rerouted to 3rd countries after leaving China to avoid more than doubling in price?

7 minutes ago, INKS said:

They do have a factory in the US don't they? Or I thought they did. Maybe that is just distribution. Most of the kits are made in the UK though. Books and so on, I am not sure.

They have some kind of large scale facility in Memphis. Theoretically, if they move some manufacturing to it the company would be exempt from the tariffs. I believe they could also incorporate a “GWNA” and get around them that way, some talking heads were saying there will be programs like that to incentive foreign companies hiring American staff (which GW already does). The main issue then will be shipping once the new fee to dock in American ports is announced. 

23 minutes ago, INKS said:

They do have a factory in the US don't they? Or I thought they did. Maybe that is just distribution. Most of the kits are made in the UK though. Books and so on, I am not sure.

 

No they don’t, it’s just a distribution hub.

 

They used to manufacture metal models there, but that stopped many years ago.

 

*edit

 

The poster below is right. Trying to figure out what's going on is getting silly. "Trump pauses tariffs for 90 days except china" is literally on every news site right now, and half of them don't even mention the 10%

 

Continue the meltdown, although I do think the UK is on the short-list to get that 10% removed

Edited by darkhorse0607
i celebrated too soon

Not quite mate.
 

The higher rate tariffs are paused.

 

The 10% baseline tariff is still happening, so you’ll still get your price rise (unless that goes later on of course).

 

The UK was only on for the 10% baseline tariff anyway, it wasn’t subject to one of the higher ones.

Edited by Robbienw

Yup, that is surely one of those huge and bigly steps that shows regulatory and financial stability, encouraging everyone to make long term investments and to build up manufacturing capacity in the US. 

 

*slow clap* :facepalm:

 

Edited by Captain Idaho
Removed political reference

At the risk of jinxing it, don't GW normally announce price increases in Feb/March to kick in with the new financial year in July?

 

I've noticed that the new EC stuff is slightly more than equivalent kits (Fulgrim is £102.50 rather than £100, which is an awkward number but barely a rounding error in context), but nothing thus far to indicate that existing kits are changing.

16 minutes ago, Vassakov said:

At the risk of jinxing it, don't GW normally announce price increases in Feb/March to kick in with the new financial year in July?

 

I've noticed that the new EC stuff is slightly more than equivalent kits (Fulgrim is £102.50 rather than £100, which is an awkward number but barely a rounding error in context), but nothing thus far to indicate that existing kits are changing.

They have probably wisely chosen not to say anything while everything else is going on. 

On 4/4/2025 at 11:34 AM, AppleCrumble said:

Given the context I think a 10% increase on Warhammer might be the least of your worries. 

 

If we are only talking about the Tabletop space though (paints as well as models), most companies produce outside the US, and if they are from Europe or Japan the potential percentage increase could be higher, because the tariff is higher.

 

What table top games are made in the US? Battletech? You could all switch to Battletech Gothic

 

No, all CGL manufacturing is done in China.  The Clan Invasion kickstarter delivery timetable was thrown to hell in a handbasket by the COVID-induced port closings.

 

I'd imagine that if GW starts hiking prices to account for the blanket 10%, the second-hand market is going to become the go-to.  If you want to dump an army, run to Ebay.

On 4/10/2025 at 4:42 PM, Iron Father Ferrum said:

 

No, all CGL manufacturing is done in China.  The Clan Invasion kickstarter delivery timetable was thrown to hell in a handbasket by the COVID-induced port closings.

 

I'd imagine that if GW starts hiking prices to account for the blanket 10%, the second-hand market is going to become the go-to.  If you want to dump an army, run to Ebay.

*rubs his Gauntlets of Ultramar thinking of all the OOP firstborn bits he’ll be able to get on the cheap*

Not wargaming-related, but gaming-related: Sony announced a price hike of 10-11% for the 5-years-old PS5 console in Europe, Aus, NZ and some countries in ME and Africa, due to "a backdrop of a challenging economic environment, including high inflation and fluctuating exchange rates". And analysts say it "could foreshadow a price rise in the US".

 

It seems rational: if you plan on having to raise prices in a certain market, you also raise them everywhere else beforehand :facepalm:

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