Grim Outlook - Balance Datasheet Expectations?

[KingYertle]

Courtesy of the fine statisticians over at Goonhammer, Death Guard have the distinction of claiming the Worst Win/Loss Ratio in this past weekend's Competitive 40k scene with a Disgusting...

 

30.65%

 

Even worse, the low first loss score of 1.33 signals that most DG players lost their first matchup and went on to score the low win/loss ratio despite playing on the loosing tables.  

 

Credit Goonhammer:  https://www.goonhammer.com/competitive-innovations-in-9th-joker-mode-pt-1/

 

Compare that to the 40% Win/Loss ratio at this year's LVO and it's clear that the Chapter Approved points adjustment hit as hard as expected.  It does beg the question, will we see any relief in next week's balance datasheet?  I would not be surprised if the Balance Datasheet focused on toning back the top performing factions vs lifting up the under performing ones, so my expectations for a specific Death Guard adjustment are low.  

 

Is the low win/loss consistent with what everyone else is experiencing on the table?

[Marshal Mittens]

Hoping for a 10-15% points cut across the board. MBH should be 80-90pts.

[Marshal Loss]

My expectation is that they will not adjust us. Hope to be wrong.

[Plague _Lord]

DG won't be in this balance update I'm afraid.

[Plaguecaster]

We won't be touched and even it we do a few measly point drops won't change anything. Too many factions have rules that shut off our rerolls, have superior resilence or saves from invs plus transhuman whilst they have high str ap weapons that make our -1d pointless, even tyranids have their line Infantry with str5 -1ap weapons.

 

If anything GW will up the cost of the only decent stuff in our codex like they always do since the other options are not good or too expensive what they do. They can't balance anything when it comes to DG

Edited April 6, 2022 by Plaguecaster

[Marshal Mittens]

Honestly it seems like 9e is written for the 1% meta chasing tournament players and not the 99% normal fans. Hopefully 10e sees something like the indexes that tone things down a bit.